Mathematical and Agent-Based Modelling
Scientific objectives
The theme aims to advance the science of complex models by developing methods for analysis, validation and simplification. In particular, the aim is to gain a better understanding of model properties (stability, bifurcations, parameter sensitivity, uncertainties), and to propose reduction techniques that retain essential mechanisms while reducing computational costs.
A major focus is on the integration and coupling of models (hybridization), in order to link different scales of space and time. This makes it possible, for example, to articulate individual dynamics (agents) and global descriptions (equations), in fields such as epidemiology or transport.
The theme develops explanatory models to address general scientific questions and gain a better understanding of the mechanisms underlying observed phenomena. These models are used to test hypotheses, explore scenarios and analyze the role of certain factors (spatial heterogeneity, interactions, individual behavior).
They contribute, for example, to the study of collective dynamics or the analysis of complex ecological systems, by highlighting emergent properties that are difficult to observe directly.
The theme designs and maintains open-source tools to facilitate the creation, use and distribution of :
- simulation platforms (including GAMA),
- software libraries and dedicated languages,
- design, calibration and analysis tools.
Particular attention is paid to the interoperability, reproducibility and accessibility of these tools. The integration of recent advances in artificial intelligence also opens up prospects for assisting model design and coding, and extending their use to non-specialists.
Methodological developments are closely linked to concrete applications in the fields of environment, health, agriculture, and urban planning. Models are used both to understand the systems under study and to support stakeholders in decision-making, by enabling the exploration of scenarios and the evaluation of public policies.
Scientific challenges
Conceptual challenges
The systems studied are characterized by their complexity, heterogeneity and multi-scale nature. This poses several major challenges. On the one hand, reduction and aggregation methods are still limited, especially for high-dimensional continuous models (e.g. reduction of systems of partial differential equations into simpler models, micro-macro transition). On the other hand, the hybridization of models raises fundamental questions: how can different approaches (agents, equations, data) coexist and ensure their coherence?
These issues are particularly critical in fields such as ecology, population dynamics and epidemiology, where interactions between scales are crucial.
Technical challenges
The models developed often require substantial computing resources, particularly when it comes to exploring a large number of scenarios or calibrating models using data. This requires the development of methods for optimizing, parallelizing and efficiently managing simulations.
In agent-based modeling platforms, challenges persist, such as agent synchronization and managing concurrent access to data. In addition, dynamic coupling with field data (updating, real-time calibration) is a growing challenge.
Finally, the accessibility of tools remains a key point: making them easier to use, especially for non-computer users, is an important objective, partly addressed thanks to recent contributions from AI.
Absence, lack, or inconsistency of data
In many contexts, particularly in developing countries, available data is insufficient, outdated or difficult to access. This constraint lies at the heart of the issues addressed by the unit.
In response, the theme develops low-data science approaches, combining modeling, expert knowledge and partial data. This includes the generation of synthetic data, the construction of artificial populations and the adaptation of statistical methods and mean fields to incomplete data sets.
Applications
The production of food resources and the sustainability of water resources are threatened by the development of human activities and the effects of climate change. These issues are addressed by our various partners' centers: Sahelian agro-sylvo-pastoral systems in a context of climate change in West Africa, bio-economy of fisheries in Senegal, North Africa and Vietnam (Brochier et al. 2021): identification of conditions to increase Maximum Sustainable Yield (Nguyen et al., submitted), study of the optimal placement of Marine Protected Areas (Ghouali 2022). A project on the development of sustainable and equitable offshore anchovy fishing and optimization of value chains near Phu Quoc Island off the Mekong Delta has just been submitted for funding by the Global Centre on Biodiversity for Climate (GCBC).
The Red River Delta, whose central area is the Bac Hung Hai region (Red River Delta) in northern Vietnam, a large agricultural region irrigated by a major canal network, is also a field of study for the unit's researchers as part of the LMI ACROSS8, associated since 2021 with UMMISCO. The study of water supply issues in this vast system is approached through hybrid modelling approaches between mathematical models (describing the system's hydrodynamic process) and agent-based models (describing the behaviours and interactions of the system's actors), enabling the multiple aspects linked to the sustainable and participatory management of irrigation systems to be addressed with all the necessary richness (Chien 2018).
Research focuses on the development of a mathematical approach based on the kinetic theory of active particles for modeling living systems and collective behavior. Kinetic and hyperbolic equations are used to describe phenomena such as multicellular systems in biology, the dynamics of crowds and swarms, and interactions in the social and economic sciences.
Within this framework, swarm theory is mobilized to represent emergent behaviors resulting from simple local interactions between agents, leading to global collective dynamics. This approach is particularly well-suited to the study of self-organizing systems and collective intelligence, such as the coordinated movements of animals (birds, fish, bees) or biological entities.
The aim of this work is to link microscopic and macroscopic descriptions within a unified kinetic framework, while developing appropriate scaling methods and numerical schemes.
Models are used to analyze and support the sustainable management of natural resources. This includes the study of fisheries (sustainable yield, marine protected areas), agricultural systems and irrigation networks.
Hybrid approaches are used to represent both physical processes (hydrology, climate) and the behavior of stakeholders (farmers, managers). This work contributes in particular to the evaluation of agro-ecological transition scenarios and the analysis of their environmental, economic and social impacts.
Activities
The theme's scientific leadership aims to strengthen exchanges between disciplines and geographical centers. It relies on :
- collaborative projects financed through internal calls,
- seminars, workshops and theme schools,
- technical activities such as coding camps around modeling platforms.
The theme also contributes to training (Masters, professional training) and the dissemination of knowledge to academic and institutional partners. A series of trans-disciplinary seminars will bring together different approaches to the same problem (mathematics, computer science, AI, social sciences).
